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Colorado Avalanche
JordanGustafson
CAge: 22180 CM88 KGCAN CAN
50PNHLe
Jordan Gustafson
NHLNHL Draft2022, VGK (79th overall)3rd round, 14th pick
THLTHL Draft2022, COL (86th overall)3rd round, 22nd pick

Projected potential

Bio

A speedy forward with good hockey sense and vision in the offensive zone. He has the potential to develop into a bottom-six forward at the NHL level, although injuries might hold him back.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 50 · 2nd Line Potential2023-24 · WHL · Seattle Thunderbirds

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
3.0
30% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
4.0
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

Gustafson had a delayed start to his 2024 season, suiting up for his first game on January 11th and missing additional time in February and during the playoffs. He only managed to play eight regular season games, tallying nine points, with an additional six points in 10 playoff games for Lethbridge. Unfortunately, he has yet to put together a full season since his draft year in 2022, but he was able to secure an entry-level contract from the Golden Knights in November 2023. If he can regularly suit up for the Silver Knights in 2025, he might be able to get his projection back on track, but losing out on key development time does not bode well for his NHL future.

It was the strong skating and Hockey IQ that spurred Vegas to trade up and select Gustafson in the third round of the 2022 draft, and those same refined skills helped him to play an important role through the Thunderbirds Memorial Cup run. His offensive numbers were almost comically stagnant as he recorded the exact same goal and assist per game rates as his draft year. The meat of Gustafson’s game is not so much offensive flair as it is situational awareness and strong decisions with the puck in all zones. Gustafson is not a true play driver who will create goals and controlled zone entries all on his own, but he will be the guy to chip and chase until he finds the space that he needs, and who will see the small coverage gaps when they arise. He will return to the WHL in 2023-24, where an increased role will likely give a better indication of his offensive ceiling as a pro.

Gustafsson was drafted 79th overall by the Golden Knights.

Gustafsson is a speedy, north-south forward with solid IQ and offensive tools, currently playing for Seattle of the WHL. He is one of the highest producing draft-eligible scorers in the WHL and what he lacks in size and strength, he makes up for in his skating, skill, and IQ.

Gustafson uses efficient, quick crossovers to gain speed and keeps his knees bent at the proper angle, adding power to his stride. He supports his teammates well in all three zones, staying in the middle of the ice to ensure defensive positioning while also being able to take advantage of turnovers and offensive opportunities. An underrated part of his game is his vision and passing ability, which he shows off in tight spaces, finding his teammates for scoring chances. He has a good blend of speed and skill to build on in the future, but his physical build and strength, as well as his tendency to overhandle pucks at times, rank him a bit lower than some of the other top draft-eligibles in the WHL. Gustafson has been a streaky scorer throughout the season, producing points in bunches and then disappearing from the scoresheet for a couple of games. If he is able to keep pace or produce at a high rate going into the playoffs, he has the potential to sneak into a late first-round selection, but he is a consensus mid-round pick as of now.



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2013-14RegularBrick InvitationalTeam Brick Alberta61450
2013-14PlayoffsBrick InvitationalTeam Brick Alberta20000
2016-17RegularAMBHLFort Saskatchewan Ranger U15 AAA30000
2017-18RegularAMBHLFort Saskatchewan Ranger U15 AAA352119408
2018-19RegularAMBHLFort Saskatchewan Ranger U15 AAA3331397016
2018-19RegularAlberta CupTeam Alberta Blue52020
2018-19RegularAMMHLFort Saskatchewan Ranger U17 AAA51120
2018-19PlayoffsAMBHLFort Saskatchewan Ranger U15 AAA131312250
2019-20RegularAMHLFort Saskatchewan Ranger U18 AAA2911203110
2019-20RegularMacs TournamentFort Saskatchewan Rang. U18 AAA41452
2019-20RegularWHLSeattle Thunderbirds100010
2019-20RegularAJHLSpruce Grove Saints20110
2019-20PlayoffsAMHLFort Saskatchewan Ranger U18 AAA13111122
2020-21RegularAEHL U18Fort Saskatchewan Ranger U18 AAA43360
2020-21RegularWHLSeattle Thunderbirds234711-910
2021-22RegularWHLSeattle Thunderbirds582329522016
2021-22PlayoffsWHLSeattle Thunderbirds254121694
2022-23RegularWHLSeattle Thunderbirds401620363114
2022-23RegularMemorial CupSeattle Thunderbirds521330
2022-23PlayoffsWHLSeattle Thunderbirds922444
2023-24RegularWHLSeattle Thunderbirds32121628-716
2024-25RegularWHLLethbridge Hurricanes8639612
2024-25PlayoffsWHLLethbridge Hurricanes1033612
2025-26RegularECHLTahoe Knight Monsters309202992
2025-26RegularAHLHenderson Silver Knights6011-40
2025-26PlayoffsECHLTahoe Knight Monsters1011-10