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San Jose Sharks
JakeKarabela
CAge: 22178 CM75 KGCAN CAN
27PNHLe
Jake Karabela
NHLNHL Draft2022, WSH (149th overall)5th round, 20th pick
THLTHL Draft2022, SJS (164th overall)6th round, 4th pick

Projected potential

Bio

A hardworking, playmaking center who is strong on his skates with offensive upside, improving defensively, and has potential as a bottom-six forward.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 272024-25 · OHL · Guelph Storm

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
3.5
35% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
2.5
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

The Washington Capitals’ fifth-round pick (149th overall) in the 2022 NHL Entry Draft committed to Ohio State University for the 2025-26 season. Karabela spent the last four seasons in the Ontario Hockey League with the Guelph Storm, producing 171 points (66 goals and 105 assists) in 249 career regular-season OHL games. He will have the opportunity to develop at the NCAA level instead of having to turn pro. While his offensive numbers may not stand out, Karabela is a good playmaker with some offensive upside; track his NCAA play before considering him in fantasy.



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2018-19RegularSCTA U15Guelph Jr. Gryphons U15 AAA321916356
2018-19RegularWSI U15Ontario Selects U1551010
2018-19PlayoffsSCTA U15Guelph Jr. Gryphons U15 AAA12712190
2019-20RegularSCTA U16Guelph Jr. Gryphons U16 AAA3227235024
2019-20PlayoffsSCTA U16Guelph Jr. Gryphons U16 AAA864102
2021-22RegularOHLGuelph Storm681233451428
2021-22PlayoffsOHLGuelph Storm5224-84
2022-23RegularOHLGuelph Storm68182139-2826
2022-23PlayoffsOHLGuelph Storm6303-22
2023-24RegularOHLGuelph Storm65253055-1656
2023-24PlayoffsOHLGuelph Storm3112-34
2024-25RegularOHLGuelph Storm48112132-2338
2025-26RegularNCAAOhio State Univ.37152237820