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New York Islanders
JohnMustard
CAge: 19185 CM82 KGCAN CAN
72PNHLe
John Mustard
NHLNHL Draft2024, CHI (67th overall)3rd round, 2nd pick
THLTHL Draft2024, BOS (53rd overall)2nd round, 21st pick

Projected potential

Bio

Strong skater with scoring instincts, intricate playmaking and hints of a power game. Needs to round things out, but could become a solid middle-six power forward.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 72 · 1st Line Potential2025-26 · NCAA · Providence College

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
6.5
65% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
8.0
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

John Mustard’s sophomore season at Providence has been a noticeable step forward. He already has 12 points through 16 games, and is on his way to surpass last years production if he can keep things up. Mustard stands out for his skating as being one of the fastest players in the NCAA and he pairs it with strong hands and a heavy wrist shot. That combination makes him dangerous off the rush and a consistent threat in transition. His scoring is keeping pace, already matching last season’s seven goals with plenty of the year left. He’s shaping into a reliable middle-six option who can drive play, contribute offensively, and impact the game with speed and skill. The rest of the season will be telling, but the trajectory is promising.

Mustard is off to a steady start in his freshman season at Providence College, posting 20 points (7 goals, 13 assists) across 37 games. The NCAA has been a good for Mustard’s transition from the USHL. He still has room to grow, especially in developing a more aggressive shooting presence and creating more scoring chances. As he progresses through his college career, Mustard’s two-way game and vision will be crucial in determining how much he can elevate his role and fit within Chicago’s promising prospect pipeline. His offensive ceiling likely sits as a reliable middle-six forward who can fill depth needs.

Mustard was selected 67th overall by the Blackhawks and will certainly hope to catch up to the NHL level eventually.

Mustard had definitely hit a bit of a wall as his USHL season came to a close. The dynamic winger has already done everything to prove he can carry pucks and score off of them, but as he started playing more of a team-game Mustard’s flaws came into focus. Primarily, how raw of a talent he truly is and how lacking his playmaking game currently is. To facilitate his passing, Mustard’s trademark speed had to be taken several notches down and he was tunneling in picks and drop passes then he was at saucers through the slot. He struggled to adapt, and he struggled to score, but his intensity didn’t waver. An encouraging sign, that Mustard is able to put in the effort to diversify his game without getting discouraged at the growing pains. Mustard is still very raw and really needs to get a handle on diversifying his offence and being a full 200-ft player, but the reward for a patient team could be tantalizing, there’s a lot to be excited about in the speed, skill and combativeness that Mustard already brings.

One of the more entertaining players in this year’s draft. Mustard has exploded onto the scene in his first year in the USHL. He’s one of the finer skaters in the draft and can beat defenders with elusiveness, simple dekes, or just raw speed to an unsuppressable level. Not to say he’s all sparkle either, he’s got a lot of upper body strength that he uses to win puck battles, extend offensive possessions or provide some old-fashioned grit. He tends to tunnel-vision at times which leads to him not being the total triple-threat he otherwise would be. Still, he’s one of the younger players in this year’s draft and the progress he’s made is nothing short of staggering. We really might just be scratching the surface of what he’s capable of.

(Fun Fact: He and Trevor Connelly are both committed to Providence. Defenders in the conference, beware.) –



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2019-20RegularAYHL 13UNorth Jersey Avalanche 13U AAA301541914
2020-21RegularNJYHL 14UNorth Jersey Avalanche 14U AA1736145012
2020-21RegularWYC U15RSG Selects U1591122
2021-22RegularAYHL 15UNorth Jersey Avalanche 15U AAA2322163816
2022-23RegularAYHL 16UNorth Jersey Avalanche 16U AAA1918183627
2022-23Regular16U AAANorth Jersey Avalanche 16U AAA65566111747
2023-24RegularUSHLWaterloo Black Hawks602927561571
2023-24PlayoffsUSHLWaterloo Black Hawks200000
2024-25RegularNCAAProvidence College3771320114
2024-25RegularJPL-ProXHockey Products1022
2025-26RegularNCAAProvidence College36171229746