Please rotate your device to landscape mode for a better experience.
PACIFIC
CENTRAL
METROPOLITAN
ATLANTIC
Login

Winnipeg Jets
CruzLucius
RWAge: 22183 CM81 KGUSA USA
72PNHLe
Cruz Lucius
NHLNHL Draft2022, CAR (124th overall)4th round, 27th pick
THLTHL Draft2022, VAN (121st overall)4th round, 25th pick

Projected potential

Bio

Dual-threat offensive winger with soft hands and an underrated shot. Needs to grow into his frame and add some pace to his play, but projects as a middle-six winger.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 72 · 1st Line Potential2025-26 · NCAA · Arizona State Univ.

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
6.5
65% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
7.0
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

Cruz only played nineteen games in 2024–25 due to a shoulder labrum injury that required surgery, which kept him sidelined for the first half of the season. This limited the opportunity to fully evaluate his progression at Arizona State after transferring from the University of Wisconsin. Despite the small sample size, he produced ten points and showcased strong playmaking, vision, and poise. A healthy 2025–26 campaign will be important for his development. His older brother, Chaz, recently retired from hockey at age twenty-one due to a genetic condition, raising some concern about Cruz’s long-term health. For now, there is optimism that he can complete his collegiate career and transition to the professional level.

Lucius has been traded to the Pittsburgh Penguins as a part of the package for Jake Guentzel.

Lucuis’ freshman year was a little bit surprising for the Wisconsin Badgers in the NCAA. After an injury riddled draft year, most went into his freshman year not knowing what to expect from him. Lucuis ended up putting up 34 points in 34 games, which led the Badgers in scoring. His hockey IQ is impressive for his age and his defensive game was pretty solid, but one thing that he can work on to improve his overall game is adding a little more speed but the more he gets in the weight room, the more that will improve. His projection for the NHL is still probably around a middle six forward but his production is certainly a good sign that there is still another level he can achieve.

Lucius has been selected by the Carolina Hurricanes in the fourth round of the 2022 NHL Draft. He is set to begin his collegiate career at the University of Wisconsin in 2022-23.

Lucius missed a lot of time due to an undisclosed injury this past season — more than five months from October 2021 to March 2022 to be exact — and was a bit shakey upon his return, only earning a goal in his first five games back. As the U18 Worlds came around, however, Lucius started hitting his stride, as the prospect earned eight points in six games to close out the tournament. He finished the USHL season with only seven points in 10 games, so the contrast was noticeable in his game.

A great playmaker with a heavy shot, Lucius offers a lot of offensive versatility. He can make plays in-tight or stretch the ice, he can slow down or push the pace of play to his liking, and does an above-average job defensively due to a decent compete level. He could stand to improve his skating a bit, and his 6-foot, 176-pound frame could use a bit more muscle, but the well-roundedness of his offensive toolkit on top of his decent play in his own zone make him a good pick-up for a team looking for a potential middle-six winger who can do a bit of everything. It all depends on what the injury was, though, and how likely it is to affect his projections. Teams will need to do their homework, and that alone should see him slip into the third round.



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2012-13RegularBrick InvitationalTeam Minnesota64590
2016-17RegularT1EHL 13UMN Gentry Galaxy 13U AAA1019104
2017-18RegularMNBEL 14UMN Blackhawks 14U AAA1411819
2018-19RegularNAPHL 15UGentry Academy 15U AAA13932416
2019-20RegularNAPHL 16UGentry Academy 16U AAA202840682
2019-20RegularYOGUSA U16403300
2019-20PlayoffsNAPHL 16UGentry Academy 16U AAA5318212
2020-21RegularNTDPU.S. National U17 Team421428428
2020-21RegularUSHLUSNTDP Juniors2661218-410
2021-22RegularNTDPU.S. National U18 Team2399182110
2021-22RegularUSHLUSNTDP Juniors10527100
2021-22RegularWJC-18USA U18626896
2022-23RegularNCAAUniv. of Wisconsin34112334-718
2023-24RegularNCAAUniv. of Wisconsin36132134010
2024-25RegularNCAAArizona State Univ.192810-714
2025-26RegularNCAAArizona State Univ.36153146116